Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.198546 0.230300 0.265516 0.307472 0.356113 0.410750 0.476814
2025-06-08 0.147251 0.189226 0.240724 0.308591 0.395767 0.504121 0.649271
2025-06-15 0.121751 0.167843 0.228449 0.314052 0.432047 0.589293 0.815370
2025-06-22 0.100600 0.146848 0.211187 0.307348 0.447749 0.645810 0.947516
2025-06-29 0.086095 0.132051 0.199182 0.304553 0.466274 0.705955 1.089868
2025-07-06 0.075982 0.121813 0.191751 0.306452 0.490542 0.775719 1.253567
2025-07-13 0.070612 0.117886 0.192967 0.321157 0.535506 0.881313 1.485242
2025-07-20 0.065250 0.113092 0.191937 0.331657 0.574325 0.980816 1.718499
2025-07-27 0.060510 0.108616 0.190681 0.341261 0.612250 1.082444 1.966986
2025-08-03 0.055340 0.102659 0.186048 0.344154 0.638363 1.166046 2.192964
2025-08-10 0.049862 0.095420 0.178209 0.340120 0.651095 1.226625 2.383210
2025-08-17 0.044226 0.087172 0.167520 0.329357 0.649678 1.260448 2.525933
2025-08-24 0.041528 0.084331 0.166805 0.337938 0.687115 1.373284 2.839628
2025-08-31 0.038242 0.079936 0.162600 0.339155 0.710185 1.460966 3.114325
2025-09-07 0.035829 0.077003 0.160908 0.345162 0.743528 1.572666 3.452208
2025-09-14 0.032395 0.071500 0.153305 0.337789 0.747643 1.624026 3.666529
2025-09-21 0.029732 0.067332 0.148014 0.334715 0.760568 1.695299 3.933197
2025-09-28 0.027770 0.064481 0.145223 0.336803 0.785127 1.794544 4.275373
2025-10-05 0.027053 0.064376 0.148472 0.352975 0.843721 1.976591 4.833348
2025-10-12 0.026029 0.063427 0.149692 0.364524 0.892777 2.142123 5.372205
2025-10-19 0.025001 0.062344 0.150471 0.375087 0.940659 2.310192 5.938161
2025-10-26 0.023585 0.060143 0.148346 0.378269 0.970683 2.438421 6.419423
2025-11-02 0.021846 0.056933 0.143417 0.373832 0.980926 2.518818 6.786848